Machine Learning Identifies Smartwatch-Based Physiological Biomarker for Predicting Disruptive Behavior in Children: A Feasibility Study

Objective: Parents frequently purchase and inquire about smartwatch devices to monitor child behaviors and functioning. This pilot study examined the feasibility and accuracy of using smartwatch monitoring for the prediction of disruptive behaviors. Methods: The study enrolled children (N = 10) aged 7–10 years hospitalized for the treatment of disruptive behaviors. The study team completed continuous behavioral phenotyping during study participation. The machine learning protocol examined severe behavioral outbursts (operationalized as episodes that preceded physical restraint) for preparing the training data. Supervised machine learning methods were trained with cross-validation to predict three behavior states—calm, playful, and disruptive. Results: The participants had a 90% adherence rate for per protocol smartwatch use. Decision trees derived conditional dependencies of heart rate, sleep, and motor activity to predict behavior. A cross-validation demonstrated 80.89% accuracy of predicting the child’s behavior state using these conditional dependencies. Conclusion: This study demonstrated the feasibility of 7-day continuous smartwatch monitoring for children with severe disruptive behaviors. A machine learning approach characterized predictive biomarkers of impending disruptive behaviors. Future validation studies will examine smartwatch physiological biomarkers to enhance behavioral interventions, increase parental engagement in treatment, and demonstrate target engagement in clinical trials of pharmacological agents for young children.