Prevalence and prognostic role of atrial fibrillation in chronic severe aortic regurgitation

Background Atrial fibrillation (AF) impacts management decisions in valvular heart disease but its significance in patients with chronic aortic regurgitation (AR) is not well established. Objectives To evaluate the prevalence and prognostic role of AF in patients with chronic, haemodynamically significant AR. Methods Adults with chronic ≥moderate-to-severe AR, from March 2004 to April 2019, were retrospectively identified. Those with acute AR, moderate or worse other valve disease or prior valve surgery were excluded. Patients with AF were identified based on 12-lead ECGs, 1-lead ECGs (showing AF for ≥30s), or episodes recorded by implanted cardiac devices. Primary outcome was all-cause mortality. Cox regression models were used to assess associations with mortality: model 1 adjusted for age, symptoms (New York Heart Association class II–IV), Charlson Comorbidity Index, left ventricle (LV) end-systolic volume index and AF; model 2 added left atrial volume index and model 3 further added systolic pulmonary artery pressure. Results Of the 1006 included patients (age 59±18 years; 822 (82%) men), 446 (46%) had hypertension and 364 (36%) had a bicuspid aortic valve. AF was present in 161 (16%) patients at the time of ≥moderate-to-severe AR diagnosis. During a median follow-up of 1.6 years (IQR 0.2–6.2), AF was associated with an increased mortality risk in univariate and in all three multivariable models (HR 1.61 (95% CI 1.07 to 2.43), HR 2.21 (95% CI 1.31 to 3.72) and HR 2.06 (95% CI 1.21 to 3.52), respectively), including after propensity matching (HR 1.58 (95% CI 1.01 to 2.48)). Conclusions AF is present in one in six patients with chronic≥moderate-to-severe AR and is associated with an increased risk of mortality even after adjusting for measures of LV systolic and diastolic function. There is a need for future prospective studies to validate these findings and evaluate AF as a potential trigger for early surgery.