Advanced Heart Failure Epidemiology and Outcomes: A Population-Based Study

Shannon M. Dunlay, Véronique L. Roger, Jill M. Killian, Susan A. Weston, Philip J. Schulte, Anna V. Subramaniam, Saul B. Blecker, Margaret M. Redfield

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review


Objectives: The goal of this study was to evaluate the prevalence, characteristics, and outcomes of patients with advanced heart failure (HF) in a geographically defined population. Background: Some patients with HF progress to advanced HF, characterized by debilitating HF symptoms refractory to therapy. Limited data are available on the epidemiology and outcomes of patients with advanced HF. Methods: This was a population-based cohort study of all Olmsted County, Minnesota, adults with and without HF from 2007 to 2017. The 2018 European Society of Cardiology advanced HF diagnostic criteria were operationalized and applied to all patients with HF. Hospitalization and mortality in advanced HF, overall and according to ejection fraction (EF) type (reduced EF <40% [HFrEF], mid-range EF 40%-49% [HFmrEF], and preserved EF ≥50% [HFpEF]) were examined using Andersen-Gill and Cox models. Results: Of 6,836 adults with HF, 936 (13.7%) met criteria for advanced HF. The prevalence of advanced HF increased with age and was higher in men. At advanced HF diagnosis, 396 (42.3%) patients had HFrEF, 134 (14.3%) had HFmrEF, and 406 (43.4%) had HFpEF. The median (interquartile range) time from advanced HF diagnosis to death was 12.2 months (3.7-29.9 months). The mean rate of hospitalization was 2.91 (95% CI: 2.78-3.06) per person-year in the first year after advanced HF diagnosis. There were no differences in risks of all-cause mortality or hospitalization by EF. Patients with advanced HFpEF were at lower risk for cardiovascular mortality compared with advanced HFrEF (HR: 0.79; 95% CI: 0.65-0.97). Conclusions: In this population-based study, more than one-half of patients with advanced HF had mid-range or preserved EF, and survival was poor regardless of EF.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)722-732
Number of pages11
JournalJACC: Heart Failure
Issue number10
StatePublished - Oct 2021


  • advanced heart failure
  • epidemiology
  • hospitalization
  • mortality
  • outcomes
  • population health

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine


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